Crystal Palace favored against defensive crisis Leeds

Crystal Palace are logical favorites in this match, supported by three main arguments. First, the standings advantage is significant: Palace sits approximately 10 points higher than Leeds (estimated based on goal difference and current position), and the form difference is dramatic - Palace has 3 wins in their last 5 games versus just 1 win for Leeds. The second argument is relative defensive quality: although both teams have zero clean sheets, Leeds concedes 48 goals in 29 matches (1.66/game) compared to Palace's 35 goals (1.21/game). The third is the home advantage: Palace plays at Selhurst Park, where they traditionally have increased support. Leeds, apart from poor form, also has the worst away defense in the league (1W-6D-7L), suggesting extreme vulnerability on the road. Odds of 2.55 for Palace reflect this market evaluation. For secondary markets, BTTS at 1.80 has high value because Leeds, despite weak defense, can score (37 GF), and Palace has no defensive immunity. Over 2.5 Goals at 2.10 is justified by both teams' profile. The main concern is injury data that appears exaggerated - with 8 absences per team, confirmation would be needed to be certain of real pitch impact.